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The Eagles have a very good quarterback who is having a very good season.

The Chiefs have the best quarterback on the planet.

The Eagles have a G.M. who has assembled a powerhouse. Philly also has a hungry young head coach has achieved “buy-in” from his entire locker room.

The Chiefs have a head coach who is unquestionably the best offensive play designer and play caller in the NFL.

The Eagle organization is making its first Super Bowl appearance since 2017. Only seven players are still around off that roster.

The Chiefs are in the SB for the third time in the past four years. Yes, in this case I think Super Bowl experience matters. “Knowing the drill” is significant.

So I’m picking K.C., right?


Philly wins.

I can’t get past this. While the Chiefs have a very talented roster, the Eagles top to bottom have the best 53-man roster in the sport, and one of the best in recent memory.

Football is the ultimate team game.

Philly wins.

OK, let’s get in the weeds.

Both teams have solid offensive lines. But the Eagles’ OL is stellar.

The Chiefs can run the ball well at times with rookie sensation Isiah Pacheco. And Clyde Edwards-Helaire is back off injured reserve. Yes, CEH has been inconsistent during his tenure in K.C. But he can be explosive, and no doubt he views this SB as a shot at redemption.  The Chiefs need to gain at least 100 rushing yards, and if the Eagles’ defense has a weakness, it’s stopping the run. This can be an opportunity for the Chiefs to keep the Eagles’ pass rush from swallowing Mahomes.

That will prove easier said than done. The Philly pass rush is historically great. The Chiefs’ pass rush is essentially Chris Jones and some other guys. It’s going to be difficult if not impossible for Kansas City to get consistent pressure on
Jalen Hurts. That means Hurts will have some deep-ball shots to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. The flip side is that Mahomes, who still has to be hobbled, is going to have the get the ball out of his hands in a hurry.

You have to figure that a cornerstone of the Eagles’ defensive game plan will be to not let Travis Kelce beat them. And remember the Chiefs WR corps is still battling recent injuries. Mahomes is going to get squeezed, and often.

Kelce will not be the only very talented TE in this game. Philly’s Dallas Goedert is a load. And remember that he’ll have those dragster WRs on his side to clear things out underneath.

As counter-intuitive as it sounds, the Eagle offense may actually have more big play opportunities than will the Chiefs.

Andy Reid has done a remarkable job of adjusting his offense after Tyreek Hill headed to Miami. But the Chiefs are now a ball-control offense, dependent on long, double-digit play drives. Good luck with that against that Philly D.

Time of possession can be a misleading and at times completely irrelevant stat. But in this case it matters, because the Chiefs are not as ridiculously explosive as they have been in the past. Philly should be able to hold down the Chiefs’ number of possessions by pounding the rock offensively. The Chiefs’ run defense is decent, but the Eagles’ running game can be overwhelming. Ask the Giants.

The respective defensive secondaries? The Chiefs are talented and young. The Eagles DBs are talented, experienced, seasoned and versatile. Advantage Philly.

This could come down to clutch field goals. If it does, I give the Chiefs’ Harrison Butker a slight edge over the Eagles’ Jake Elliott.

Finally, there’s this. Both DCs have had two weeks to scheme and game-plan. As a result, I expect each quarterback to throw two picks.

Which team overcomes that?

Ultimately, the Eagles, 30-27.

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Paul's Bio

I clearly have the attention span of your median fruit fly.Look! Airplane!

Sorry. I’m back.

It’s both a curse and a blessing. I’ve never bought this stuff about, “He who dies with the most toys wins.” But I do think that a wide range of life experiences helps us grow as people, and helps us better relate to other people. I’ve been fortunate. And I am beyond grateful.

I show up on time. I go like hell. I’m a good listener. I hold myself accountable. I own my mistakes. And I have a natural and an insatiable curiosity. I’m never afraid to say, “I don’t know,” when I don’t. But then I try to find out.

The flip side is I’m a lousy ballroom dancer and my clothes sometimes fit me funny.

Stuff matters to me. I care. But while I take that stuff seriously, I try hard to never take myself seriously. As a result, I have sometimes been told, “Paul, it’s hard to tell when you’re serious and when you’re just having some fun. Which is it? Serious or fun?”

My answer is “yes.” But I think that is a legitimate criticism. I promise I’m going to work on that.

This has been the quickest and strangest half-century I’ve ever experienced. During that period, I’ve been afforded amazing opportunities in news and sports journalism across all platforms. I have taught wonderful students at the high school and collegiate level. Always, I learned more from them than they did from me. I’ve been a high school administrator. I spent ten seasons as a high school varsity football coach. I’ve been an advertising executive. I’ve hosted nationally syndicated television entertainment shows. In maybe the biggest honor I ever received, I was selected by NASA to be “Chet The Astronaut” for the “Land The Shuttle” simulator at Space Center Houston. (All I can say there, is “Do as I say, not as I do.” I put that thing in the Everglades more often than not.) Most recently, I just wrapped up a decade as a television news director, during which time our teams distinguished themselves in holding the powerful accountable, achieving both critical and ratings success.

What does all that mean? It means I am profoundly grateful. It also means I’m ready for “next.” So here we are. Radically Rational. It’s an idea I woke up with in 2017. I scribbled “Radically Rational” on a piece of notebook paper and used a magnet to stick it on our refrigerator. I saw it every day, and it just would not leave me alone.

I am second in charge at Radically Rational, LLC. My wife, Jo (also known as BB), is the president. Clearly, I have failed in my attempt to sleep my way to the top of this organization.

I hope you will learn that I’m loyal as a Labrador. But I will admit that this doggie can bite every now and then. My promise to you? I will show up on time. I will go like hell. I will listen to you earnestly and attentively. I will hold myself accountable. I will never be the least bit hesitant to say, “I don’t know,” when I don’t.

But then I’ll try to find out. Let’s do it.