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This is the best Michigan team I have seen. Ever. In my lifetime. Better than any Bo team. Better than any Carr team. Better than any previous Harbaugh team. More talent. More speed. More balance. More depth. And the Wolverines’ defensive front is the quickest and most aggressive in all of college football. Ask Alabama.

But I’m picking Washington. The turmoil and pending changes in the Michigan program will come home to roost tonight in Houston. All the pressure in on the Wolverines. Yoo-Dubb will play fast and loose. Penix is better than any quarterback UM has seen to date. And the Huskies’ uncanny success in close ballgames will sustain them.

Washington 31, Michigan 28.

Not only are both Texas NFL teams in the playoffs, they each go in as a division champ. The Texans’ story almost defies belief. Rookie coach. Rookie quarterback. Rookie offensive play-caller. And the Texans won ten games despite the fact they had the most players on injured reserve over the course of the season.

But this is a very difficult matchup for Houston. I know the Texans were without both C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. when they lost to the Browns three weeks ago. But Cleveland appeared to be physically superior at the LOS in that game. In my view, the Browns have the second-best chance to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, behind only top-seeded Baltimore. Prove me wrong, Texans!  But I have to take Cleveland.

The Cowboys? Yeah, I know Dallas has won 16 straight home games. I also know the Cowboys are more talented and experienced than are the youthful Packers. There’s not a single tangible reason to think Green Bay can win this game. Still, this one makes me a little nervous. I now see what the Packers saw in Jordan Love when they drafted him. Dallas wins, but only after GB gets the game into the fourth quarter.

Upset alert? The Rams take out the Lions. And the Rams can win another game after that one. This is Sean McVay’s best coaching job. The Rams are legit. Love me some Dan Campbell, too.  But he was unwise to play so many starters yesterday against the Vikings. LaPorta is not going to be able to go. That’s a big deal. Decisive, IMO.

Smellevision? Who played with more fear Sunday? The Eagles? Or the Jaguars? You could smell it through your big-screen. I’m not stating this with joy. It was actually sad and depressing at the human level.

The Chiefs are not going to the Super Bowl. But they’ll make good and sure the Dolphins don’t. Why is Miami such a turn-off to me?

Death. Taxes. Tomlin. I have to smile.

Josh Allen is a turnover machine. He is also a brilliant quarterback. And you can FEEL how much his teammates love him. The Bills got their shit back together. That should scare the other 13 playoff teams.

I’m guessing Baker wakes up feeling dangerous next Monday against the Eagles. Philly beware. The Eagles MUST get off to a good start in that game, or they will get boat-raced.

There’s nothing funny about Black Monday. Some good men lost their jobs today. Ron Rivera comes to mind. No doubt Arthur Smith had to go, but I like him as a person. These guys have families. And staffs.

And let me close with this. The Hoodie can be an asshole, and often is. But I think he is handling all of this with uncommon dignity and grace.

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Paul's Bio

I clearly have the attention span of your median fruit fly.Look! Airplane!

Sorry. I’m back.

It’s both a curse and a blessing. I’ve never bought this stuff about, “He who dies with the most toys wins.” But I do think that a wide range of life experiences helps us grow as people, and helps us better relate to other people. I’ve been fortunate. And I am beyond grateful.

I show up on time. I go like hell. I’m a good listener. I hold myself accountable. I own my mistakes. And I have a natural and an insatiable curiosity. I’m never afraid to say, “I don’t know,” when I don’t. But then I try to find out.

The flip side is I’m a lousy ballroom dancer and my clothes sometimes fit me funny.

Stuff matters to me. I care. But while I take that stuff seriously, I try hard to never take myself seriously. As a result, I have sometimes been told, “Paul, it’s hard to tell when you’re serious and when you’re just having some fun. Which is it? Serious or fun?”

My answer is “yes.” But I think that is a legitimate criticism. I promise I’m going to work on that.

This has been the quickest and strangest half-century I’ve ever experienced. During that period, I’ve been afforded amazing opportunities in news and sports journalism across all platforms. I have taught wonderful students at the high school and collegiate level. Always, I learned more from them than they did from me. I’ve been a high school administrator. I spent ten seasons as a high school varsity football coach. I’ve been an advertising executive. I’ve hosted nationally syndicated television entertainment shows. In maybe the biggest honor I ever received, I was selected by NASA to be “Chet The Astronaut” for the “Land The Shuttle” simulator at Space Center Houston. (All I can say there, is “Do as I say, not as I do.” I put that thing in the Everglades more often than not.) Most recently, I just wrapped up a decade as a television news director, during which time our teams distinguished themselves in holding the powerful accountable, achieving both critical and ratings success.

What does all that mean? It means I am profoundly grateful. It also means I’m ready for “next.” So here we are. Radically Rational. It’s an idea I woke up with in 2017. I scribbled “Radically Rational” on a piece of notebook paper and used a magnet to stick it on our refrigerator. I saw it every day, and it just would not leave me alone.

I am second in charge at Radically Rational, LLC. My wife, Jo (also known as BB), is the president. Clearly, I have failed in my attempt to sleep my way to the top of this organization.

I hope you will learn that I’m loyal as a Labrador. But I will admit that this doggie can bite every now and then. My promise to you? I will show up on time. I will go like hell. I will listen to you earnestly and attentively. I will hold myself accountable. I will never be the least bit hesitant to say, “I don’t know,” when I don’t.

But then I’ll try to find out. Let’s do it.